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Scots Independent

The Flag in the Wind
A weekly online newspaper bringing you information on the political scene in Scotland: part of the monthly Scots Independent.

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CAMPAIGNING FOR SCOTLAND
(Owned, Edited and Printed in Scotland since November 1926)
"Promoting all that is best in Scottish Nationalism and all that is best in Scotland."
Content of the Flag in the Wind Web Site is the copyright of the Scots Independent Newspaper.

[ Issue 369 -  29th June 2007]


Compiled by Donald Bain


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Congratulations, Mr. Brown

My wholehearted congratulations to Gordon Brown on becoming the latest Leader of the New British Labour Party and the last Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. With his funereal appearance, his all-pervading air of gloom and his cadaverous smile no-one is better suited to conducting the final formalities of burying the wretched 1707 Union.

Alas, in his secondary role as Prime Minister of England, things will be less simple. Despite a sophisticated marketing exercise designed to portray his weaknesses as strengths (sullen moods as seriousness, insensitivity as honesty, arrogance as moral purpose, etc.) the arch-beneficiary of spin seems to be running into trouble, even before his honeymoon period has reached the consummation stage.

In a fit of unexpected courage (post-Hutton and the subsequent muzzling of criticism of the regime) BBC’s Panorama programme on Monday mounted a devastating attack on Brown’s veracity. The picture which emerged was one of a serial and brazen liar. Not only did Brown refuse to appear on the programme (at a time when he has been available for saturation coverage on the airwaves) but his staff allegedly attempted to censor key parts of the evidence. Not a good start! Programme presenter John Ware will be lucky to receive a Christmas card, let alone a knighthood.

All this is nothing, however, compared to the decision to appoint his acolyte Douglas Alexander (brother of the discredited Wendy) as the person in charge of the next UK General Election campaign. Mr.Brown claims he wishes to restore trust in politics, yet his first act is to install the person accused of the biggest vote-rigging scandal of modern times as his election supremo.

English commentators regard the Alexander appointment as hilarious, given that he presided over Labour’s worst result in Scotland in the past 50 years. When they find out the full story their amusement may give way to outrage.

 

Vote-rigging or sheer incompetence?

With so much happening on the Scottish political scene the fiasco surrounding the conduct of the Election may seem a secondary matter, perhaps even a distraction. Not so. This is a huge issue that must not be sidelined or glossed over with a Hutton-style whitewash.

The risk is that any investigation conducted by those primarily responsible for this disaster will seek to fudge responsibility and concentrate on the technicalities of the voting process, with a view to recommending improvements next time round. This is unacceptable. The suspicion here is that there was a deliberate attempt to fix the election, an attempt which came within a whisker of success.

ballot boxThe only alternative explanation is that the Westminster Minister responsible, Scottish Secretary Douglas Alexander, is unfit for office. Running the Scottish elections is probably the most important function remaining to the old Scottish Office in London and for Mr. Alexander to get this so spectacularly wrong would require his resignation and the end of his political career.

If, on the other hand, it transpires that Mr. Alexander was at the centre of a deliberate attempt to either rig or discredit the Scottish elections then things are dramatically more serious. Rather than simply contemplating a loss of his Cabinet seat Mr. Alexander might be facing criminal charges.

Electoral corruption is possibly the most serious charge any politician can face, on a par with (and in many ways similar to) the accusation of selling seats in the House of Lords. Angus McNeil and his talented research team would be well advised to investigate the relevant legal background.

The scale of the disenfranchisement is immense. Alan Smart of YouScotland estimates that the number of people cheated out of their right to vote, before the polls even opened, through non-delivery of their requested postal votes, could be of the order of 50,000. Depending how the vote deficit is calculated that amounts to 50,000 voters who were denied the opportunity to cast a list vote, a constituency vote and a local government vote, i.e. 150,000 lost votes in total.

This slightly exceeds the more widely publicised number of disallowed votes: 85,643 in the constituencies and 60,464 in the lists. Many of these were doubly disallowed (both constituency and list) so the numbers of individuals concerned are somewhat less. In round terms the total number of individuals disenfranchised was around 150,000 (50,000 postal voters and 100,000 disallowed) and the total of votes “lost” around 300,000.

Nor is this all. Worries persist over the validity of the postal votes actually cast. The vast increase in the number of postal votes at the last Westminster GE has been accompanied by prosecutions for vote-rigging, especially in the inner cities of England. Following remarks by judges to the effect that lax controls over the authenticity of postal votes puts the UK on a par with “banana republics” this has led to the introduction of spot and identity checks – but not in Scotland. Why not?

postal voteAny comprehensive inquest into this whole sorry business must address a range of questions. Some are purely technical, such as the effects of ballot paper design (especially those changed at the last moment to accommodate the voting machines) and the confusion arising from having the local elections (using the very different STV voting system) on the same day as the parliamentary poll.

Others relate to the logistics and security aspects of postal voting. (YouScotland claim that the mechanics of postal voting were transferred to the private firm which provided the voting machines. Surely not?)

But the most important question relates to the judgements made within the Scotland Office. Alexander and his officials claim that decisions such as the single ballot paper for both list and constituency votes were agreed with all parties: the truth is more complex. Unlike the parties in Scotland,  Alexander had access to market research that showed the ballot paper gave rise to a high level of disallowed votes. He claims that they decided on the design on the basis of surveys showing it commanded majority support among voters. But this was not the crucial issue: minimal levels of misunderstanding should have been the goal.

A generous interpretation of this error might be that Alexander and his advisers were simply naïve or lazy. Yet given the intense political manipulation endemic in New Labour campaigning it seems inconceivable that the backroom policy advisers did not take the opportunity to run the survey results through their election simulators. They would then have found that confusion over the voting instructions would primarily penalise the smaller parties standing only on the list vote and the SNP’s constituency vote. The most typical disallowed vote was one split between SNP and Green or SNP and socialist where both votes were cast on the list.

Ironically the outcome, had this aspect of the fiasco been avoided, would not have been dramatically different. On a back-of-the-envelope calculation the SNP would have won a few more constituency seats but at the expense of roughly the same number of list seats. The Greens would have won up to another 6-8 seats and the socialist parties perhaps a couple, mainly at the expense of the three unionist parties. A possible projection would be as follows:

SNP 47
Labour 43
Conservative 14
LibDem 12
Green 10

SSP/Sol 

2
Margo      1

This would still mean an SNP minority Government. The major practical change would be a rather more balanced unionist/independence balance: 60/69 as against the actual 50/79.

So, you may ask, why bother having an inquiry? The principal answer is that that Alexander’s vote-rigging (if that is indeed the case) is unacceptable in any democratic society. By disenfranchising individual voters it brings politics and indeed all public life into disrepute. Failure to punish such behaviour not only devalues democracy but also encourages the culprits to continue as before.

And, with a referendum in prospect, we cannot afford to allow this issue to remain unresolved.


The Working Life of Linda Fabiani MSP

Linda Fabiani MSP
Click here to read SNP MSP Linda Fabiani's working diary.


 SYNOPSIS

SURVEY RAISES CONCERNS OVER POSTAL PRICING

Mike Weir MP, SNP Spokesperson on Trade and Industry, has expressed concerns over the findings of a survey by the British Chambers of Commerce which has revealed that 60% of their members had seen an increase in their costs since the introduction of pricing in proportion
by Royal Mail.

Mike Weir Mr Weir said this contrasted sharply with assurances given at the time of introduction of the scheme. He said:

“When the scheme was introduced concerns were expressed as to its effect and Royal Mail insisted that 80% of mail would not change in price. The fact that 60% of business has seen a rise in costs shows that the change has had a serious adverse impact on business.

“Worse still 84% of small and medium sized businesses felt that the new system had not simplified the way in which mail was prized. In effect business has seen a rise not only in costs but in complexity.

“Pricing in Proportion and now attempts to introduce zonal pricing hit at the fundamental tenets of a universal service obligation and willseriously impact on businesses throughout Scotland, many of  whom rely on Post Office services.

“Royal Mail urgently needs to revisit this issue. The news that Amazon has ended their contract with Royal Mail demonstrates the necessity for the company to listen to those businesses that remain loyal to them. If they do not they risk losing yet more business to alternative carriers.””


SNP SET FOR POST-ELECTION REFORM: ROBERTSON PLANS TO BUILD ON ELECTION SUCCESS

The Scottish National Party (SNP) is set to build on its election success after winning power in the Scottish Parliament.

Newly elected Business Convener Angus Robertson MP says he plans to continue the professional momentum of the campaign to keep the party in the driving seat of Scottish politics.

Angus RobertsonThe Westminster SNP leader and Moray MP was confirmed to the powerful post at the weekend SNP National Council and will see him chair the key decision making forums of the party and oversee the operational matters of the SNP.

Mr Robertson says he plans to build on the historic election success:

"The SNP has become the leading party in Scotland by harnessing the best policies, modern campaigning techniques and commitment of our members and voters.

"In the months ahead I will work with SNP colleagues to complete the professional transition to natural party of government.

"We have a tremendous opportunity to show through the work and success of the SNP government, parliamentarians and councillors that Scotland should continue its progress to independence.

"I will work hard to maintain our organisational and campaigning improvements, including the essential work of SNP Headquarters, fundraising and the cutting edge Activate IT system.

"The grassroots of the SNP remains its strength and I will work closely with the members, branches and constituency associations to build on the historic electoral success of the SNP.

Nominating Mr Robertson for the post, Alex Salmond said:

"Angus' leadership of the Scottish election campaign took our party to a historic victory last month, and so I am delighted that he will be able to carry on his tremendous work in this vital role. He has many challenges ahead in ensuring that our Party builds on the success that he delivered, but I'm sure that he will be equal to that task.


SNP HIGHLIGHTS DEVOLVED EU ROLE FOR SCOTLAND: WHITEHALL MUST LISTEN TO HOLYROOD, CARDIFF AND BELFAST

SNP logoThe Scottish National Party (SNP)/Plaid Cymru Westminster Group has pressed the UK government to fully involve the devolved governments in the emerging European Union reform plans.

Speaking after Prime Minister Tony Blair MP made a statement to the House of Commons, SNP Westminster leader Angus Robertson MP said:

Plaid Cymru Logo“Many of the EU proposals relate to matters that are devolved to the Scottish Government and Parliament, and the Westminster government must listen to their views.

“It is vital that the priorities of the Scottish Parliament and Government on reform proposals before the Inter Governmental Conference be taken into account by the UK Government when preparing its position.

“The UK Government must ensure that the Scottish Government, acting on behalf of the Parliament, is fully involved in preparing the UK line ahead of the IGC.””